For some of the quantity we present the so called compatibility plots. In Unitarity Triangle fits based on a χ2 minimization, a conventional evaluation of compatibility stems automatically from the value of the χ2 at its minimum. The compatibility between constraints in the Bayesian approach is simply done by comparing two different p.d.f.’s.
Let us consider, for instance, two p.d.f.’s for a given quantity obtained from the Unitarity Triangle fit, f(x1), and from a direct measurement, f(x2): their compatibility is evaluated by constructing the p.d.f. of the difference variable, x2 − x1, and by estimating the distance of the most probable value from zero in units of standard deviations. The latter is done by integrating this p.d.f. between zero and the most probable value and converting it into the equivalent number of standard deviations for a Gaussian distribution 1. The advantage of this approach is that no approximation is made on the shape of p.d.f.’s. In the following analysis, f(x1) is the p.d.f. predicted by the Unitarity Triangle fit while the p.d.f of the measured quantity, f(x2), is taken Gaussian for simplicity. The number of standard deviations between the measured value, ¯x2 ± σ(x2), and the predicted value (distributed according to f(x1)) is plotted as a function of ¯x2 (x-axis) and σ(x2) (y-axis). The compatibility between x1 and x2 can be then directly estimated on the plot, for any central value and error of the measurement of x2.
The color code indicates the compatibility between direct and indirect determinations, given in terms of standard deviations, as a function of the measured value and its experimental uncertainty. The crosses indicate the direct world average measurement values.